File:Nationwide polls for the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries.svg

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Description
English: A combination of nationwide opinion polls during the 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries. The trend lines are Local Regressions with α = 0.8 and 95% confidence interval ribbons. The point sizes and trend lines are weighted according to the margin of error of each poll.
Date
Source Own work
Author Abjiklam

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I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
w:en:Creative Commons
attribution share alike
This file is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 4.0 International license.
You are free:
  • to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work
  • to remix – to adapt the work
Under the following conditions:
  • attribution – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
  • share alike – If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you must distribute your contributions under the same or compatible license as the original.

Code edit

The graph is generated by the following R script, largely inspired by this file.

library(RCurl)
library(reshape)
library(htmltab)
library(ggplot2)
library(stringr)
library(scales)

#get the table from the url
theurl <- getURL("https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_2016_presidential_primaries", ssl.verifyPeer=FALSE)
table <- htmltab(theurl, which=3)
table2 <- htmltab(theurl, which=4)

table = table[,1:6]
table2 = table2[,c(1:5,7)]

names(table) <- c("Source", "Size", "Error", "Date", "Clinton", "Sanders")
names(table2) <- names(table)

df = rbind(table, table2)

for (i in c(3, 5:7)) {
  df[[i]] = as.numeric(sub("%", "", df[[i]]))/100
}

df$Date = sub("[0-9]+\\s*–\\s*([0-9]+)", "\\1", df$Date)
df$Date = sub(".*–", "", df$Date)
df$Date = sub("[0-9]+\\s*-\\s*([0-9]+)", "\\1", df$Date)
df$Date = sub(".*-", "", df$Date)
df$Date = trimws(df$Date)
df$Date = as.Date(df$Date, format="%B %d, %Y")

df$Size = as.numeric(sub(",", "", df$Size))

df$Error = 1/sqrt(df$Size)
mdata <- melt(df, id=c("Date", "Source", "Error", "Size"))

names(mdata)[5:6] = c("Candidate", "Support")

colors = c("#D4AA00", "#228b22")
labels = c("Clinton", "Sanders")

results = mdata

#breaks() returns n evenly spaced numbers between x and y
#whose squares are divisible by p
#the function is used for the legend
breaks <- function(x, y, n, p) {
  x = sqrt(ceiling(as.integer(x^2) / p) * p)
  y = sqrt(floor(as.integer(y^2) / p) * p)
  s = seq(x, y, length.out=n)
  for (i in 2:(n-1)) {
    s[i] = sqrt(round(s[i]^2 / p) * p)
  }
  return(unique(s))
}

d = ggplot(results, aes(x=Date, y=Support, colour=Candidate, size=1/Error, weight=1/Error)) +
  geom_point(alpha=0.7) + 
  geom_smooth(span=0.8, show.legend=F) + 
  scale_colour_manual(values = colors) + 
  labs(title="Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 Democratic Party primaries") + 
  scale_size_area(max_size=3,
                  breaks=function(x) breaks(x[1], x[2], 5, 100), #5 numbers divisible by 100
                  labels=function(x) comma_format()(x^2),
                  name="Sample Size") + 
  scale_y_continuous(breaks=seq(0,1,0.1), minor_breaks=seq(0,1,0.02),
                     labels=percent, limits=c(0.2,0.7)) + 
  scale_x_date(labels=date_format("%b %d"),
               breaks=sort(c(seq(as.Date("2016/1/1"), as.Date("2016/7/28"), "month"),
                             seq(as.Date("2016/1/15"), as.Date("2016/7/28"), "month"),
                             as.Date("2016/7/28"))),
               limits=c(as.Date("2016/1/1"), as.Date("2016/7/28"))) +
  theme(panel.grid.minor=element_line(size=0.2),
        panel.grid.major=element_line(size=0.6))

#save plot as "dp.svg"
svg(filename="dp.svg", 
    width=9, 
    height=5, 
    pointsize=12,
    bg="transparent")
d
dev.off()

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current16:32, 29 June 2016Thumbnail for version as of 16:32, 29 June 2016810 × 450 (232 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
14:10, 8 June 2016Thumbnail for version as of 14:10, 8 June 2016810 × 450 (228 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
11:57, 6 June 2016Thumbnail for version as of 11:57, 6 June 2016810 × 360 (226 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
03:41, 31 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 03:41, 31 May 2016810 × 360 (223 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)better sample size legend
04:33, 30 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 04:33, 30 May 2016810 × 360 (220 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)kept only major candidates (as was done for the republican graph)
15:50, 29 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 15:50, 29 May 2016810 × 360 (238 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
14:42, 22 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 14:42, 22 May 2016810 × 360 (233 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
22:24, 16 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 22:24, 16 May 2016810 × 360 (231 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
17:42, 8 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 17:42, 8 May 2016810 × 360 (229 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
12:36, 2 May 2016Thumbnail for version as of 12:36, 2 May 2016810 × 360 (225 KB)Χ (talk | contribs)update
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